COVID-19 numbers don't add up

[Radishrain]

Edit (13 Apr 2020): I'm no longer certain that what I say in this post is the case. I probably saw the figures in the early morning, before they counted up very high. So, it doesn't explain why the numbers don't add up. Interestingly, the CDC and worldometers are reporting different USA death counts, today (a few thousand difference). So, I'd have to recalculate to see if the numbers add up.

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Looking at Wikipedia (At the CDC Reported U.S. Totals), it becomes clear that the site I was examining was reporting things incorrectly, notwithstanding its prevelance on Google searches. Wikipedia shows that these numbers per country are not the number of new cases, but rather the percentages the total cases have increased by. This is alarming as some of those are some high percentages of new cases! (I mean, Russia is up by 601% in a day.)

So, in reality, we had 1,075 new deaths reported on the last day, in the USA, instead of 25.

[Radishrain]

I think I'm going to start writing down the numbers to make sure they're not changing them, because yesterday, the death count for the day before yesterday seemed too much lower for the new deaths reported to create such a high number. It looks like it went up at least 4k in the USA during that time.

Worldometers.info:
15 Apr 2020:
USA:
Total cases: 648,003
New cases: 30,342
Total deaths: 32,443
New deaths: 2,618
World:
Total cases: 2,086,332
New cases: 84,651
Total deaths: 138,474
New deaths: 8,095

CDC:
USA:
16 Apr 2020:
"Total cases: 632,548 (632,220 confirmed; 348 probable)
Total deaths: 31,071 (26,930 confirmed; 4,141 probable)"

Huh. I think the discrepancy I noticed may have been because of probable cases not being counted. We shall see. Maybe it has to do with additional areas beginning to report old data.

I'm still waiting on today's totals to finish for worldometers (but they finish long before my day is over). It'll take at least another day or to to tell if anything is amiss, probably, other than obvious differences between worldometers and the CDC.

[Radishrain]

Worldinfo:
16 April 2020
USA:
total cases: 677,570
new cases: 29,567
total deaths: 34,617
new deaths: 2,174
World:
total cases: 2,181,308
new cases: 95,022
total deaths: 145,470
new deaths: 6,996

This is the first time I've noticed the numbers declining from the previous day (although I haven't been checking on that for a couple days or so, particularly).

[Radishrain]

CDC
17 April 2020
USA
total cases: 661,712 (1,282 probable cases)
total deaths: 33,049 (4,226 probable deaths)

[Radishrain]

Worldinfo
17 Apr 2020
USA
total cases: 709,735
new cases: 32,165
total deaths: 37,154
new deaths: 2,535
World
total cases: 2,248,864
new cases: 86,497
total deaths: 154,145
new deaths: 8,672

[Radishrain]

I skipped some days (on purpose; the news was taking too much time). Here are the totals, now:

CDC
26 Apr 2020:
USA:
Total cases: 957,875
Total deaths: 53,922

Worldometers:
27 Apr 2020:
World:
Total cases: 3,062,476
New cases: 69,206
Total deaths: 211,449
New deaths: 4,532
Total recovered: 921,314
USA:
Total cases: 1,010,356
New cases: 23,196
Total deaths: 56,797
New deaths: 1,384
Total recovered: 138,990

[Radishrain]

Worldometers:
19 June 2020:
World:
Total cases: 8,750,990
Total deaths: 461,820
USA:
Total cases: 2,297,190
Total deaths: 121,407

[Radishrain]

Worldometers (for yesterday):
World:
New cases: 173,650
New deaths: 5,071
Total cases: 9,520,818
Total deaths: 483,959
Total recovered: 5,169,767
USA:
New cases: 38,386
New deaths: 808
Total cases: 2,462,554
Total deaths: 124,281
Total recovered: 1,040,605

The new cases appear to be higher than they've ever been, for the USA, and especially for the world. That goes to show to me that the stay at home order and social distancing put in place actually were doing something, and that the decline wasn't due to the warmer temperatures. I'm a bit surprised the numbers rose so starkly before elementary and high school season, but considering how the virus can survive high temperatures, it shouldn't be surprising that it could proliferate in the summer.

[Radishrain]

Worldometers (for yesterday, meaning, as in other posts in this thread, with the yesterday thing selected, which says it was two days ago):

World:
New cases: 196,963
New deaths: 4,847
Total cases: 10,795,162
Total deaths: 518,058
Total recovered: 5,934,994
USA:
New cases: 51,097
New deaths: 676
Total cases: 2,779,953
Total deaths: 130,798
Total recovered: 1,164,680

[Radishrain]

Here's the worldometers data with yesterday checked (I do yesterday since it's still adding results for today):

World:
New cases: 218,492
New deaths: 5,485
Total cases: 13,449,062
Total deaths: 580,420
Total recovered: 7,841,664
Active cases: 5,026,978
Serious/critical: 59,552
USA:
New cases: 65,594
New deaths: 935
Total cases: 3,545,077
Total deaths: 139,143
Total recovered: 1,600,195
Active cases: 1,805,739
Serious/critical: 16,337

[Radishrain]

Worldometers (yesterday selected):

World:
New cases: 248,445
New deaths: 5,737
Total cases: 13,937,330
Total deaths: 591,958
Total recovered: 8,272,463
Active cases: 5,072,909
Serious/critical: 59,935
USA:
New cases: 73,388
New deaths: 963
Total cases: 3,695,025
Total deaths: 141,118
Total recovered: 1,679,633
Active cases: 1,874,274
Serious/critical: 16,452

[Radishrain]

Worldometers (yesterday selected):

World:
New cases: 240,481
New deaths: 5,559
Total cases: 14,179,830
Total deaths: 598,540
Total recovered: 8,448,949
Active cases: 5,132,341
Serious/critical: 60,142
USA:
New cases: 74,987
New deaths: 946
Total cases: 3,770,012
Total deaths: 142,064
Total recovered: 1,741,233
Active cases: 1,886,715
Serious/critical: 16,660

[Radishrain]

Worldometers (yesterday selected):

World:
New cases: 239,113
New deaths: 5,678
Total cases: 15,084,963
Total deaths: 618,493
Total recovered: 9,105,030
Active cases: 5,361,440
Serious/critical: 63,786
USA:
New cases: 67,140
New deaths: 1,119
Total cases: 4,028,569
Total deaths: 144,953
Total recovered: 1,886,583
Active cases: 1,997,033
Serious/critical: 16,710

This is the first time I've seen the new cases going down in a while.

[Radishrain]

Worldometers (yesterday selected):

World:
New cases: 247,592
New deaths: 5,568
Total cases: 16,883,804
Total deaths: 662,482
Total recovered: 10,451,282
Active cases: 5,770,040
Serious/critical: 66,504
USA:
New cases: 64,729
New deaths: 1,245
Total cases: 4,498,343
Total deaths: 152,320
Total recovered: 2,185,894
Active cases: 2,160,129
Serious/critical: 18,992

[Radishrain]

Worldometers (yesterday selected):

World:
New cases: 199,917
New deaths: 4,366
Total cases: 18,437,388
Total deaths: 697,083
Total recovered: 11,677,456
Active cases: 6,062,849
Serious/critical: 64,732
USA:
New cases: 48,646
New deaths: 567
Total cases: 4,863,916
Total deaths: 158,928
Total recovered: 2,446,798
Active cases: 2,258,190
Serious/critical: 18,725

[Radishrain]

Worldometers (yesterday selected):

World:
New cases: 278,833
New deaths: 6,005
Total cases: 29,717,911
Total deaths: 938,483
Total recovered: 21,531,185
Active cases: 7,248,243
Serious/critical: 60,912
USA:
New cases: 36,447
New deaths: 1,197
Total cases: 6,788,147
Total deaths: 200,197
Total recovered: 4,068,086
Active cases: 2,519,864
Serious/critical: 14,165

[Radishrain]

Worldometers (yesterday selected):

World:
New cases: 749,294
New deaths: 15,361
Total cases: 93,509,919
Total deaths: 2,001,289
Total recovered: 66,798,763
Active cases: 24,709,867
Serious/critical: 111,913
USA:
New cases: 230,457
New deaths: 4,069
Total cases: 23,848,410
Total deaths: 397,994
Total recovered: 14,112,119
Active cases: 9,338,297
Serious/critical: 29,232